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# Ukraine
- URL: https://www.geopolitic.world/ukraine/
- Published: 2025-08-21T01:33:40.000Z
- Updated: 2025-08-21T01:33:40.000Z
- Description: Some deals hold, others do not...
- Author: Holger Edquist
- Tags: Newsletter, #Migrated-1788189989500, #Import 2026-08-31 17:27

Neville Chamberlain famously, or maybe notoriously, declared in his 30th of September 1938 remarks that he had negotiated “Peace for our time”. His remarks were sincere. He thought that the concessions he had made satisfied his adversary, Adolf Hitler, and that they would be enough to secure a lasting peace. History proved him wrong.

This historic episode is often cited as an analogy to the current war between Ukraine and Russia pertaining to the ongoing peace negotiations. Putin’s appetite for expanding the Russian empire is described as insatiable, and it is therefore reasoned that no concessions should be given whatsoever.

The historical background of this conflict is complex and goes far back in time. **Acknowledging that, as I have previously written about, a just peace is beyond reach. The number one priority should be to reach a lasting one.** Chamberlain’s well-intended attempt turned out to be a monumental failure. There are however other examples.

During the Cuban Missile Crisis, in October 1962, the world was brought closer to the brink of an intentional nuclear war than ever before. During a few weeks several US and Soviet nuclear weapons were exploded in space out of reach of the public eye. This combined with the events on the Earth’s surface, led to an agreement that for a considerable time brought “Peace for our time”. The deal was complex and it contained public as well as undisclosed parts.

One part of this deal was that the US pledged not to invade Cuba. This deal has held to this day. **Assessing global strategy this deal should have been broken a long time ago. Somehow, though, it has survived.** There is a secret recipe here that one should apply to the current situation in Ukraine.

Ceding Donetsk would be a major strategic concession for Ukraine. Considering swapping this territory for Ukrainian controlled parts of Kherson and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts should be entirely hinged on that a lasting peace can be guaranteed.

This guarantee would have to be based in reality rather than words like in 1994 when Ukraine gave up the world's third-largest nuclear weapons force or in the Minsk agreements of 2014-2015.

Shortly, every advanced nation is constituted of several actors sharing the total state power. In the Cuban example the right actors combined with overt and covert ingredients led to a lasting result.

**To resolve the war in Ukraine, following this recipe constitutes the best chance for a lasting peace.**

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*Update 2025-09-04:* Corrected the spelling of the word ceding

*Update 2026-08-25: Corrected grammar and spelling (going through old posts using a new tool). The content of the text was not changed in any way.*